Monday, March 24, 2008

Tourny Talk

~As a true testament to the fact that I over-analyze and over-think things, the bracket I am doing the best in is the one I filled out immediately after the selection show. I went with my gut, my intuition, and as it turns out, my gut is smarter than my brain. I successfully picked 13/16 sweet sixteen teams (Notre Dame, Butler, Marquette being on the wrong end), and called Davidson to beat Georgetown, Western Kentucky, West Virginia, and Villanova to the sweet sixteen (including W.K.-San Diego and Villanova-Siena second rounders). I'd have all of my elite 8 teams left, and more than likely would be leading our bracket challenge. But alas I can take no credit for any of those picks because I chose to ride my brain and my vast "knowledge" of college basketball. Sigh.

~I watched/listened to most of the Mississippi St./Memphis game yesterday, and I really like Michigan St.'s chances. If anybody else watched the game, it looked like a streetball game for the most part. Isolating the guard up top, drive to the rim, monster dunks on misses. I wasn't thoroughly impressed with Memphis and think they are definitely a beatable team. While Memphis may make more spectacular plays that will draw the "oohs" and "ahhs", fundamentally I think we're a better basketball team. If we execute our game, I think we win. Of course, that is always a big if...

~...that being said, I pick us. I pick us because Neitzel will do what he did to Ronald Ramon- run him ragged. I think Lucas can get by the bigger guard (Rose) and penetrate. I think Walton can do a decent job on Rose. I think we have enough bigs (quantity over quality) to somewhat neutralize Memphis down low. Perhaps for the first time all season, being in foul trouble might work to our advantage, by putting Memphis on the free-throw line. I think Memphis might overlook us slightly, and see the two higher seeds in the next round as bigger threats. But the main reason I think we will beat Memphis on Friday is pure will. We want this. For the first time all year, I feel like the team wants it more than the other team. We will look Memphis in the eyes on Friday and say to their faces, "Fuck you, this is OURS."

~Can you imagine how good State would be if Neitzel, Lucas, Suton, and Morgan actually all played well in the same game? I don't think we've seen it once all year. What if all four showed up to play? That would be a State team I'd thoroughly enjoy watching.

~Best Conference in the Tourny: Big Ten. Shout outs to the Big East and Pac-10, but I give it the Big Ten. We only put four teams into this tournament, and we've got two into the sweet sixteen. Purdue played it's way into the second round and put up a good fight against Xavier. For as much shit as the Big Ten has gotten all year, we are 5-2 and more than holding our own in the tournament. Are we the best basketball conference in the country from top to bottom? No, but our top is pretty damn good. It's a physical, obey-the-code type of basketball that not many programs play. So while we might not be the flashiest conference, all of our teams are tough outs in March.

~Least Impressive Conference: SEC. Vanderbilt fell flat on their faces. Georgia exited first round. Tennessee has looked less than impressive in two games. Kentucky shouldn't have even been in the tournament. Arkansas beat an already defeated Indiana team, but then looked like they didn't even belong on the same floor as an elite team against UNC. Mississippi State is the only team that represented themselves well from the conference.

~Hey, I've Seen That Before! Award: Davidson. Does anybody else remember Wally Szcerbiak when he played for Miami (OH) about ten years ago in the tournament? What Curry is doing right now is basically what Wally did for Miami. He shot his team into the sweet sixteen by hitting every shot he took from anywhere on the court. I remember watching him play against Washington (yes, I remember the opponent- it is still such a vivid game in my mind), and with two defenders in his face launching threes from five feet behind the three point line. It was amazing. As Curry is to Davidson, Wally is (was) to Miami (OH).

~Best Game: Western Kentucky/Drake. It's a shame Drake had to lose, because they are a damn fun team to watch. If they were in any other region, I bet they'd be in the sweet sixteen. It's unfortunate they had to play Western Kentucky who matched up perfectly with them (and W.K. did get a little lucky at the end). I watched this game and watched both teams run up and down the floor and shoot threes like they were lay-ups. It was spectacular. Drake would have four guys on the perimeter, and they'd all just bomb it. The point guard would pick a man, and he'd chuck it- and they'd all hit. The second half and overtime was a blast to watch. Throw in a buzzer-beater, and it makes it my game of the tourny thus far.

~Elite Eight Picks: North Carolina, Louisville, Kansas, Wisconsin, Michigan State, Texas, UCLA, Xavier...nothing spectacular (except for State =) )

Go State!

~Mikey D

7 comments:

Kevin said...

Yeah, in my "other" bracket that no else has seen I'm doing really well too...

Memphis is definitely beatable, but there is no question that they are a very formidable opponent. As you said, if Neitzel, Lucas, Morgan, and Suton all show up we would be incredible. Well, we'll need it from all of them from here on in. (It doesn't get any easier after Memphis) But I definitely agree, if they all play well in the same game, we can be a great team.

I did watch the end of the Drake game. It was definitely a great game to watch, especially since I picked WKU. Did you watch the Stanford game? That was a great finish too. (especially because I picked Stanford...)

Mikey D said...

you forgot to mention how awesome your girlfriend is!

Adam said...

I definitely over analyze too. Then I analyze my over-analysis. I definitely was considering Davidson and Villanova to the sweet 16. I never considered Siena or San Diego.

I always felt Michigan State would have a better shot against Memphis since they don't shoot free throws and because they haven't been as tested as Pitt.

Sorry, but no way has the Big 10 been the best. Wisconsin and MSU have performed better than most expectations, however.

I do agree SEC was the worst and Drake/Western Ky has been the best game. I got home from church just in time to catch OT.

Mikey D said...

My other bracket is on my desk with fifteen other "practice" ones. Grace can vouch for me.

And yes, Grace, you are doing quite well =).

What conference has done better, then? Big East had 8 teams in, and three are left in the sweet sixteen, so you could make a case for them, except the conference champed got knocked off by a 10 seed, the tourny champ lost to a Big 10 team, and UConn dropped its first rounder to San Diego. The ACC has North Carolina...and that's it. The Big 12 had 5 advance to the second round...but Wisconsin and Purdue both beat Big 12 teams EASILY. Pac-10? Three teams in the sweet sixteen, but have they been more impressive than the Big 10? UCLA and Stanford could have easily lost their games this past weekend if it weren't for some late heroics and questionable officiating. Arizona, USC, and Oregon did nothing.

The Big-10, without a doubt, has been the most impressive. Each of their five wins have been solid beat-downs. Best conference so far.

Adam said...

Damn it. I tried to prove it, but I couldn't. With only 4 teams in the tournament and 2 in the sweet 16, of course they look good. But Indiana was nothing and Purdue's victory over Baylor doesn't add to the Big 10's resume. They should've won that game.

Mikey D said...

Well I think each conference so far has had its "dud" team (Indiana, UConn, etc.). I just think the Big 10 has handled its business better than any other conference thus far.

In the end it might not have the best showing of any conference, but so far they get the nod.

With how OSU is performing in the NIT and how the Big 10 is doing in the tourny, do you think OSU should have gotten in???

Adam said...

From my blog... "After removing the 28 automatic bids and the 28 locks, I was left with 9 teams. I chose: Akron, Texas A&M, VCU, Kansas St, Villanova, Arkansas, Arizona St, Ohio State, and random lower conference team."

So, yes. I would have put OSU in the tournament before they did well in the NIT. However, be careful not to overrate victories over UNC-Ashville or Cal on their home court. I still am convinced they played the most difficult schedule in the country.

By the way, consider my bubble team pick's performances... Texas A&M, Villanova, Kansas St, Arkansas... granted, it wasn't a stretch to choose them, but they have done well.