Tuesday, December 30, 2008

Playoff Picks

Just call me "Ironman" from now on. The final updated standings:

Mike: 174
Kevin: 164
Adam: 157

I felt bad before Week 17 that Kevin had to make his picks two weeks in advance, as it was kind of an unfair advantage for me. Then I remembered why he made his picks two weeks in advance, so I stopped feeling bad for him. Besides that, I went 14-2 anyway in Week 17, so it would have been impossible for him to have beaten me even if he got every game right.

Fair is fair though, Adam. You took a title away from me, so I took one from you. Except you have shiny belt to show off....grrr....

Okay, onto the playoff predictions!

Wild Card:
Baltimore over Miami
Minnesota over Philadelphia
Arizona over Atlanta
San Diego over Indianapolis

Divisional:
Tennessee over Baltimore
Pittsburgh over San Diego
New York over Arizona
Carolina over Minnesota

Conference:
Pittsburgh over Tennessee
New York over Carolina

Super Bowl:
New York Giants over Pittsburgh Steelers, 24-16

I had the Steelers vs. Saints in my preseason prediction (oops on one of those), with the Steelers winning it all, so obviously I'm changing my mind on my Super Bowl champ. That means go bet heavily on the Steelers. The sports gods will make me pay for not sticking with my original pick.

Did anyone read about how the Pro Bowl in a couple years will be played before the Super Bowl? There's no way that players preparing for the Super Bowl will be able to play in that...what if, for argument sake, the Cowboys had made it to the Super Bowl with their 13 Pro-Bowlers? That's like a forth of the roster that'll need to be replaced! My personal feeling is make Week 9 reserved for the Pro Bowl, eliminate all bye-weeks, and have it played in the middle of the season like every other major sport. Or just keep it the way it is.

~Mikey D

Tuesday, December 23, 2008

Week 17 Picks

This is it!

Updated Standings:
Mike: 160
Kevin: 156
Adam: 145

Week 17 Picks
Houston over Chicago
Minnesota over New York
Atlanta over St. Louis
Indianapolis over Tennessee
New Orleans over Carolina
New England over Buffalo
Pittsburgh over Cleveland
Cincinnati over Kansas City
Tampa Bay over Oakland
Green Bay over Detroit
San Francisco over Washington
Arizona over Seattle
Baltimore over Jacksonville
Miami over New York
San Diego over Denver
Philadelphia over Dallas

~Mikey D

Friday, December 19, 2008

2008 Fantasy Football Review

Did this fantasy season go by fast or what? My team's record was shit this year in our Knob Hill league, but I've happily guided two other teams and Grace's work league team (she gave me full control) to the championship games. So overall, a good year. Unfortunately I have to give the championship belt I've held onto for a year to either Grace or Adam. Sigh, it was nice for awhile...

This is my 2008 fantasy review. I know the season hasn't finished completely, but I wanted to write something before the Christmas break, and this was really my only shot. So, let's recap!

PRESEASON PREDICTIONS:
1) Joseph Addai will be a fantasy disappointment.
Spot on. I went to look up Addai's stats and compare them to the other running backs, and I had to look on the second page of running backs to find him! Less than 600 total yards of rushing. Couple that with a poor O-line and injuries, and he's been a nightmare to own this season. Honestly I didn't think he'd be this bad, but he definitely still falls under the 'disappointment' category.
2) This will be the last year of the LT reign.
It appears that way. He's lost the explosiveness. He doesn't break away for 20+ yard runs anymore. He's just an ordinary back. Don't get me wrong, he's still decent. He is, as of this post, 11th in scoring overall, but I think it's safe to say next year he won't be top-5. Or ever again, for that matter.
3) Tom Brady will throw 30+ TDs...but closer to 30, than 40.
My whole point with this prediction was to make the statement that Brady would have a difficult time reaching the absurd numbers he posted last year. So my prediction really went unanswered, as Brady never had a chance to prove himself. I guess I'll make the same one next year.
4) Jason Witten and Antonio Gates were 1-2 in TE scoring last year. They will not be 1-2 this year.
This will be a close one, but as of right now the top two are Tony Gonzalez and Dallas Clark, making me correct. I cannot believe how good Tony Gonzalez has been. He's about 20 points better than Dallas Clark. That's just amazing to me.
5) The only rookies worth drafting are Darren McFadden and Dustin Keller.
Wow, how wrong was I? How about Matt Forte, Chris Johnson, Kevin Smith, Eddie Royal, John Carleson, Deshaun Jackson, Matt Ryan, Joe Flacco, and others I'm probably forgetting right now. It was a good year for rookies, which is a good thing for fantasy. More good players to go around next year!

THE MAN CRUSH- MARION THE BARBARIAN.
Sadly, my love affair with Marion has ended. I will no longer be targeting him with my first round pick next year. He started off the season just as I expected him to, but he wore down- whether it was due to Romo being out, the O-line playing poorly, or injuries he sustained, he just wasn't the same explosive runner. When all of those factors are not there, Barber is great. But that's a lot of shit that has to happen for Barber to be effective in fantasy circles. Throw in the fact that Choice and Jones have proven that they are capable backs, and I think Barber could be looking at a time share again, circa Julius Jones era.

The trade for LT. As of now, LT is about 7 points ahead of Barber point wise. I think Adam would agree that neither of us "won" the trade, as much as survived it. Holt and Colston have been disasters, and with LT and Barber being hurt/inconsistent (LT and the beginning, Barber at the end), they haven't exactly been pleasant to own. Neither of us are starting them in the final week. That says all you need to know right there.

I do, however, have my eyes on another player for next year that I'm sure I'll be infatuated with.

THE DRAFT
It was fun to do the best/worst list after the draft, now let's do it after the season. The best and worst picks of the 2008 draft by round.
Round 16: Best- New York Giants Defense (Stacey), Worst- Ben Utecht (Brian)
Round 15: Best- Bernard Berrian (Stacey), Worst- Devin Thomas (Adam)
Round 14: Best- Aaron Rodgers (Adam), Worst- Jacob Hester (Kevin)
Round 13: Best- Chicago Bears Defense (Adam), Worst- Vince Young (Kevin)
Round 12: Best- Michael Turner (Kevin), Worst- Nate Burleson (Mike)
Round 11: Best- (tie) Kurt Warner, Matt Forte, Greg Jennings (Mike, Dave, Kevin), Worst- Joey Galloway (Stacey)
Round 10: Best- Thomas Jones (Kevin), Worst- Edgerrin James (Grace)
Round 9: Best- Ronnie Brown (Stacey), Worst- Jon Kitna (Amber)
Round 8: Best- Philip Rivers (Dave), Worst- Jason Hanson (Brian)
Round 7: Best- Anquan Boldin (Dave), Worst- Roy Williams (Brian)
Round 6: Best- Jay Cutler (Amber), Worst- Julius Jones (Brian)
Round 5: Best- Maurice Jones-Drew (Stacey), Worst- Matt Hasselbeck (Adam)
Round 4: Best- Calvin Johnson (Dave), Worst- Marvin Harrison (Brian)
Round 3: Best- Larry Fitzgerald (Grace), Worst- Patrick Crayton (Brian)
Round 2: Best- Drew Brees (Grace), Worst- Braylon Edwards (Mike)
Round 1: Best- Brian Westbrook (1), Worst- Joseph Addai (Amber)

I think Round 1 is the most interesting. Of all the picks, Brian Westbrook is the only one that is top-5 at his position in points. Peyton Manning is currently, but that's because his stats are padded by Thursday's early game. He probably will be 6th at the end of the week. So if you were to tell me that only 1 out of 8 of us would draft a player that end up being a top-5 player not overall, but just at his position, I would have thought you were crazy. Yet we managed to pull off that interesting feat.

And if before the season I told you your roster would consist of the following...
QB- Matt Hasselbeck
QB- Jon Kitna
WR- Braylon Edwards
WR- Roy Williams
WR- Joey Galloway/Marvin Harrison
RB- Joseph Addai
RB- Julius Jones/Edgerrin James
TE- Ben Utecht
...you woudn't be ecstatic, but you would feel like you'd at least have something to work with. All of these guys made my "worst picks" list...

Conversely, if your roster was...
QB- Aaron Rodgers
QB- Philip Rivers
WR- Anquan Boldin
WR- Greg Jennings
WR- Calvin Johnson
RB- Michael Turner
RB- Thomas Jones
...you'd be a little nervous of the unproven talent that you had drafted. Shows how much stock you can put into those fantasy magazines I guess.

I also said in my post-draft post that Adam and Grace had the most solid teams. And which two are in the championship right now? Just saying...

And Kevin built his team based on early and late picks. Thomas Jones, Michael Turner, and Greg Jennings??? Amazing pick-ups. Adrian Peterson, Reggie Wayne, Adrian Peterson, and Frank Gore were absolutely tremendous picks to start the draft. How is he in the last place game??? How the hell did he miss the playoffs????

LOOKING AHEAD...
Top 5 Running Backs
1. Michael Turner (Atlanta runs, and this guy finds the endzone)
2. Adrian Peterson (I wish he had more TDs...)
3. Brian Westbrook (When he's on the field, he's amazing)
4. Maurice Jones-Drew (Finally no more Fred Taylor)
5. Brandon Jacobs (Beast...when not injured)

Top 5 Wide Receivers
1. Randy Moss (Good year, and with Brady back...better year)
2. Larry Fitzgerald (With Warner at QB, of course)
3. Calvin Johnson (With shit for a QB and being double-covered, he's still the top-scoring fantasy WR at this point)
4. Terrell Owens (With Romo, of course)
5. Andre Johnson (More TDs would be nice)

Top 5 Quarterbacks
Okay, one would assume it would be these five in some order: Brees, Brady, Peyton, Romo, and Warner. I'll try and do 6-10.
6. Philip Rivers (LT is going down, Rivers is going up)
7. Aaron Rodgers (him and Jennings are great together)
8. Jay Cutler (he puts up the yards, that's for sure)
9. Donovan McNabb (a new team might be good)
10. Brett Favre (assuming he comes back)

Well it's been fun. Good luck to everyone in their final week of play. I look forward to reclaiming the title that is rightfully mine.

~Mikey D

Wednesday, December 17, 2008

Week 16 Picks

Kev, make sure you make picks for Week 17, too!


Updated Standings:
Mike: 154
Kevin: 149
Adam: 139

Week 16 Picks:
Indianapolis over Jacksonville
Dallas over Baltimore
Cincinnati over Cleveland
New Orleans over Detroit
New England over Arizona
Kansas City over Miami
Pittsburgh over Tennessee
San Francisco over St. Louis
Tampa Bay over San Diego
Denver over Buffalo
Houston over Oakland
New York over Seattle
Philadelphia over Washington
Minnesota over Atlanta
Carolina over New York
Chicago over Green Bay

~Mikey D

Monday, December 8, 2008

Week 15 Picks

So the bowl match-ups are out, and these are the games I'll be shooting to watch:
Poinsettia Bowl: TCU/Boise St. (Dec. 23)
Capital One Bowl: Michigan State/Georgia (Jan. 1)
Rose Bowl: Penn State/USC (Jan. 1)
Sugar Bowl: Utah/Alabama (Jan. 2)
BCS Championship: Florida/Oklahoma (Jan. 8)

There really aren't a lot of intriguing match-ups outside the heavyweight BCS bowls. I really wish Texas Tech could have drawn a better opponent, and the same with Texas and BYU. The games just aren't appealing, and its sad because they all have had fantastic seasons and deserve better than the bowls they got. TCU and Boise St. on December 23rd in the fucking Poinsettia Bowl??? Boise St. was a borderline BCS team for Christ's sake! Not to mention it's the #9 against #11 team in the nation. It just deserves a better billing, that's all.

Michigan State basketball is dropping like a rock...#18 and #20 in the polls. I'm not worried though. We have a lot of growing to do, so I haven't hit the panic button yet. If we're playing this badly in January/February with Suton back, then I'll start to freak out. Has anyone else noticed that Michigan has beaten UCLA and Duke so far this season. Uh-oh, they're back...

Good luck to everyone in their fantasy playoffs. Grace in her work league and Knob Hill, Adam in Knob Hill, Kevin in his family league, and me in my three other Yahoo leagues not named Knob Hill. Kev, I hope I beat you by a tenth of a point this week.

Onto the picks.

Updated standings:
Mike: 143
Kevin: 136
Adam: 128

Just trying to hold on...go make those Week 15 picks!

Week 15 Picks
Chicago over New Orleans
Kansas City over San Diego
Miami over San Francisco
Atlanta over Tampa Bay
New York over Buffalo
Washington over Cincinnati
Seattle over St. Louis
Indianapolis over Detroit
Houston over Tennessee
Jacksonville over Green Bay
Arizona over Minnesota
Carolina over Denver
Baltimore over Pittsburgh
New England over Oakland
New York over Dallas
Philadelphia over Cleveland

These picks make me uncomfortable....

~Mikey D

Thursday, December 4, 2008

Week 14 Picks

Well, not much to say about the MSU game last night. I liked what I saw, for the most part, in the half of basketball that I watched. Mark my words, we will be a completely different team come February and March. I am excited to see how we grow. But last night was all about Carolina. Holy mother of god they are ridiculous at every position. That is one hell of a basketball team, and it's better than their national championship team of Felton, May, and Williams. To state the obvious, they're really good.

I liked how Izzo summed up the game: "You didn't see our real team tonight, but our real team might have lost by 20," Izzo said. "They're definitely one of the best teams I've seen in my 25 years at Michigan State."

Onto the picks.

Updated Standings:
Mike: 131
Kevin: 123
Adam: 115

Go make those picks!

Week 14 Picks
San Diego over Oakland
Chicago over Jacksonville
Minnesota over Detroit
Green Bay over Houston
Tennessee over Cleveland
Indianapolis over Cincinnati
New Orleans over Atlanta
New York over Philadelphia
Denver over Kansas City
Miami over Buffalo
New York over San Francisco
New England over Seattle
Arizona over St. Louis
Dallas over Pittsburgh
Baltimore over Washington
Carolina over Tampa Bay

~Mikey D

Monday, December 1, 2008

Yearly Rant

I'm going to play the repeater for the second year in a row. Last year I talked about what a travesty it was that LSU jumped 3 teams in the BCS poll and into the National Championship despite the three teams in front of them not losing. What irked me was that the polls (AP and Coach's) were essentially rendered meaningless in the end. Because the polls play such a large part in the formula of the BCS, the only way that people could have gotten LSU into the title game was if they moved LSU up to #2 in the ranking, which they did, thus pushing them in front of three teams that did nothing to hurt their stock. The integrity of the poll system, the little that it had (biased coaches and the such), was gone. College football used the poll system all season long as a gauge for measuring the "best team", but abandoned their system and rankings at the very end. What's the point of even having rankings? If none, why are they such a large part of the BCS system?

So all morning I hear about this Texas-Oklahoma bullshit. "Well Texas beat Oklahoma head-to-head." "Well Oklahoma destroyed Texas Tech and has scored 60+ the last two weeks over ranked opponents." Irrelevant, I say! Save your arguments and reasoning, because I don't give two shits and a fuck. The only thing that should matter is the polls. Texas was #2, Oklahoma #3. Texas won convincingly over their in-state rival, and Oklahoma did as well. Both teams won. Texas is still #2. Oklahoma is still #3. No more discussion. Respect the polls. You had Oklahoma at #3 a week ago, keep them there dammit! You should not jump a team in the polls that did nothing to hurt its ranking (and did everything to help it) if the polls have any integrity and true meaning.

But they don't. And I hate it.

~Mikey D